Paris again smells of earth and triumph. From May 18 to June 7, 2026, the main battle of the clay season unfolds on the courts of "Roland Garros." For some, it's a chance to enter history, for others, the last battle, for others, a battle with oneself. This year's tournament promises to be particularly hot. And it's not just the weather.

When and where to watch the main start

The tournament started on May 18 with the qualifying week, where hundreds of players fought for a ticket to the main draw. But the real show will begin on May 24 at 11 am Paris time [citation:2]. That's when the first seeded players will step onto the court. The women's final will take place on June 6, while the men will fight for the last trophy the day after — June 7 [citation:6]. The main arena — the legendary Philippe Chatrier court — will host night sessions, where new legends are born under the spotlights.

The total prize money for the tournament this year is 61.7 million euros [citation:10]. The winners in the singles category will receive 2.8 million euros [citation:4][citation:6]. The runner-up will get 1.4 million. Even those who lose in the first round don't go away empty-handed: they receive 87,000 euros each [citation:10]. The numbers are impressive, but, as always, accompanied by disputes. Players are unhappy that their share of the tournament's income, according to some estimates, has fallen from 15.5% to 14.9% [citation:4]. Tournament Director Amelie Moriceau is not going to change the payment structure yet, leaving the issue open for dialogue [citation:4].

Men: the era of Sinner and the lost king

The main news of the men's tournament is tragic and sensational. The reigning champion and favorite of the Parisian public, Carlos Alcaraz, will not be able to defend his title. A wrist injury has knocked the Spaniard out of action, and his dream of a third consecutive "Cup of Musketeers" has been shattered by the harsh reality of medicine [citation:1][citation:3][citation:8]. Without his main antagonist, the tournament draw has become barren. Now we are facing an historic window for Yannick Sinner.

The Italian has been an absolute monster on clay this season. He has won all three clay "Masters" consecutively: in Monte Carlo, Madrid, and Rome [citation:1][citation:7][citation:8]. This achievement was previously only achieved by Rafael Nadal in his prime years. Sinner is on a phenomenal winning streak of 29 consecutive victories [citation:3]. He is the world's number one. He is 24 years old, and "Roland Garros" is the only Grand Slam tournament he has not yet won [citation:7]. The motivation is off the charts.

However, bookmakers' odds and expert opinions are unanimous only half the time. Former Wimbledon doubles champion Todd Woodbridge notes: "He is the most obvious favorite for a long time. But his greatest opponent is himself. Pressure, stress, the absence of defeats" [citation:7]. The top half of Sinner's draw does not look insurmountable. Potential quarterfinal opponents: Alexander Bublik, Ben Shelton, or the resurgent Stefanos Tsitsipas [citation:1]. In the semifinals, he will already face Daniil Medvedev [citation:1][citation:9].

Russian trace: Medvedev and Rublev on Parisian clay

Daniil Medvedev has surprised many this season on clay. He has caused the most problems for Sinner in Rome, taking a set from him [citation:1]. For a player who has always openly declared his dislike for this surface, this is a breakthrough. Medvedev's path to a potential semifinal against the Italian starts with Australian Adam Wallington [citation:9]. Then possible matches with Alex Poparin, Francisco Cerundolo, and Flavio Cobolli [citation:1][citation:9]. The problem is that Medvedev has never gone beyond the quarterfinals at "Roland Garros." Can he break this barrier in Paris-2026?

Andrei Rublev, seeded 11th, will start the tournament with a match against Peruvian Ignacio Buse [citation:9]. He faces a tough path: in the fourth round, he may face Alex de Minaur, and in the quarterfinals — Novak Djokovic [citation:9]. Karen Khachanov will start against Frenchman Arthur Ja, and in the fourth round, he may theoretically meet Alexander Zverev [citation:9].

Old ghost: what to expect from Djokovic

Before the tournament, Novak Djokovic celebrates his 39th birthday [citation:3]. His 2026 season does not contain titles, and in Rome, he lost in the first round to Dino Prizmic [citation:1]. However, writing off the Serbian is a favorite pastime of those who later regret it. Djokovic reached the final of the Australian Open at the beginning of the year, eliminating the same Sinner along the way [citation:1]. Experts at the Australian Open agree that in the five-set format and with the experience of 24 Grand Slam titles, he remains a dangerous "ghost" in the draw [citation:7]. Although they admit that it is getting harder for him physically with each passing year.

Djokovic's draw, by the way, is deadly. He may face Joao Fonseca (who recently defeated him in Rome) or Dino Prizmic in the third round [citation:9]. In the fourth round — Kasper Ruud, a two-time "Roland Garros" finalist [citation:9]. In the quarterfinals, a match with Andrei Rublev or Alex de Minaur is possible [citation:9]. To survive this meat grinder and reach the final, where almost certainly awaits a rested and angry Sinner — a nearly impossible task. But this is Djokovic.

Women: the battle of titans without an obvious favorite

In contrast to the predictable men's draw, the women's tournament is a turbulent zone. There is no undisputed leader, and any of the ten tennis players can leave with the cup. The main names: Arina Sobolenko (world number one), Coco Gauff (current champion), Elena Rybakina, and four-time "Roland Garros" winner Iga Swiatek.

Arina Sobolenko's path to the title is complicated by a shoulder injury and not the most stable form on clay [citation:5]. After her triumph in the US, she started the clay season with a delay and was eliminated in the 1/32 final in Rome [citation:5]. However, she traditionally transforms at the Grand Slams. Her path will start with Spanish player Jessica Buzas Manero, and she may face Jessica Pegula or Naomi Osaka in the quarterfinals [citation:5]. The semifinal against Gauff will be a battle for revenge for last year's defeat in the final.

Swiatek vs. Rybakina: a war of styles

Iga Swiatek. Clay. Paris. It seems like the formula for victory. But her season has not gone well so far. She has to defend a huge number of points, and in the draw, she faces a nightmare — Elena Ostapenko, who leads in head-to-head meetings 6:0 [citation:5]. If Iga gets past the Latvian barrier in the third round, she may face Elina Svitolina, and then Elena Rybakina [citation:5].

Elena Rybakina, on the other hand, has started the clay season brilliantly, winning the title in Stuttgart [citation:5]. Her powerful serve and coolness in decisive matches make her one of the main contenders. Analysts agree that Rybakina and Sobolenko are the main favorites, and their meeting in the final would be a logical conclusion to the tournament [citation:7]. Experts at the Australian Open are betting on Rybakina and Sobolenko, although they note that the field is surprisingly even: "There are probably eight or ten women who can really win if they play their best game" [citation:7].

Notably, Mirra Andreeva, who continues to progress and has already entered the seeded list (8th number), as well as Marta Kostyuk, who has not lost a single match on clay this season as of the start of the tournament [citation:5].

First-round intrigues and dark horses

The draw has prepared several gifts for fans of surprises from the start. Among the men, Arthur Fils, the main hope of the French, will face the legendary Stan Wawrinka [citation:3]. Clay, Paris, former champion against young hope — it will be loud. Also, pay attention to 18-year-old Spaniard Rafael Hodar, who is going through the draw under the label of "dark horse" [citation:3]. Among the Russians, the key battle may be the match between Daniil Medvedev and Alex Poparin in the second round [citation:9].

"Roland Garros" 2026 is a tournament of great changes. The era of the "Big Three" (Djokovic is still here, but time is relentless) is ending, injuries are breaking the careers of young kings (Alcaraz), and a new power is emerging on the scene. Will it be the power of the iron Sinner or a bright change of guard in women's tennis? We will find out in the next two weeks.

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